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29 points

They do. They have air superiority and really much more of everything including morale

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26 points

We also know:

  1. Ukraine has been getting slowly pushed back
  2. Ukraine’s counteroffensive failed

Abandoning a position because you can’t hold it usually involves lots of deaths. Similarly, moving on a position but getting pushed back seems like it would aldo be pretty costly.

I’m skeptical of 10:1, but I’m also skeptical of 1:1.

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